US Elections leading up to and including the 2018 Midterm Elections

131 posts / 0 new
Last post
NorthReport

Republicans push hard on GOP tax plan, but voters just aren't that into it

 

Republicans are investing enormous amounts of political capital and dollars to pump up support for the GOP tax overhaul in a risky, last-ditch legislative undertaking ahead of next year’s midterm election.

President Trump is promoting the bill as a Christmas present for the American people, and a group aligned with House Speaker Paul D. Ryan has spent $20 million so far on ads and outreach in communities across the nation. Senate Leader Mitch McConnell is set to fast-track the bill through the chamber next week.

Problem is, voters just don’t seem to be that interested.

Polls show most Americans view the tax bill as benefiting the wealthy and corporations, skeptical it will do much for middle-class taxpayers. Outside analyses of the $1.5-trillion package echo those assessments despite revisions.

 

Republicans are nevertheless rushing ahead on a plan that may please wealthy donors, but it is opposed by most major categories of voters, including independents, women, minorities and young people, according to a recent Quinnipiac University poll. Even among Republicans, support is hardly overwhelming, with 60% approving of the plan, 15% disapproving and 26% unsure.

Such lackluster enthusiasm and Republicans’ failure so far to sell their tax plan to middle-class Americans raises questions about whether the issue will be the slam-dunk in the 2018 midterm election that GOP leaders predict. After the failure to repeal Obamacare, Republicans are desperate for a political win.

Most California GOP House members vote to pass tax bill, with some hoping the Senate will help fix it

“I don’t see any political reward in passing or not passing tax reform legislation,” said David Wasserman, who analyzes House races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. “I don’t think the Trump base of the Republican Party sees this as an issue that would suddenly cause them to run to the polls.”

Part of the problem has been the unusual speed by which Republicans are muscling through the House and Senate tax bills, which permanently slash corporate rates to their lowest level in decades, 20%, but make only temporary cuts to individual taxes while doing away with popular write-offs and deductions.

Republicans have been unable to build public momentum without the prolonged hearings and debates that would be normal for legislation of this magnitude.

But GOP donors have lost patience with the lack of legislative accomplishments, telling lawmakers not to bother calling and asking for campaign checks for the coming midterm election until they have something to show for their hold on Congress and the White House.

“From the very start, we said that failure is not an option,” Ryan said last week after House Republicans passed their version of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

The speaker made it clear that Republicans were delivering on their promise. “We, collectively, asked the country in 2016 to give us a chance to go work for them,” he said. “This conference, today, did one of the greatest things we could possibly do to make good on that promise.”

Perhaps more than any other Republican, Ryan has taken it upon himself to build support for the tax plan. The Ryan-aligned American Action Network has spent $20 million since August on television and radio ads and other tools to try to bolster lawmakers, shore up voter support for the tax bill and help shape public opinion in more than 50 House districts.

Amy Walter, the national editor at Cook, called Ryan’s undertaking remarkable if not unprecedented.

“It’s one thing for the speaker to be an active fundraiser for his party,” said Walter. “I don’t know that I’ve ever seen a speaker raise money like this for a group that is promoting specific policies as robustly as this.”

She added, “Then there’s the silence on the other side.”

Democrats have launched no comparable counter-effort against the tax bill, even though Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi is a fundraising powerhouse whose haul is expected to meet if not surpass Ryan’s effort, despite being in the minority party.

Instead, Democrats are relying on the content of the tax bill itself to turn away voters.

“We don’t need to match them dollar for dollar because they're pushing bad policy that hurts the middle class,” said Charlie Kelly, executive director of the Pelosi-aligned House Majority PAC.

“Ryan and the Republican outside groups have spent $19 million trying to sell this terrible tax plan, but the reality is no amount of money can dress this up and make it look good,” he said.

To be sure, Democrats are not doing nothing. The House Democratic campaign arm is running digital ads, including on Facebook, against 39 House Republican lawmakers, even some who voted against the tax bill, “because ultimately their entire party will be held responsible for this vote,” a spokeswoman said.

And in a twist, Democrats secured various web domain addresses for the name of the GOP tax bill — including taxcutsandjobsact.com and taxcutsandjobsact.org — which all direct users to a single site where people can upload their own videos explaining why they oppose the Republican tax bill.

One woman, who introduces herself as Julie and holds a cat, says, “This cat has a better life than the average middle class will have under the Republican tax bill. This cat can go to the doctor. This cat has enough food. This cat has a warm house. Under the Republican tax bill, many people won’t.”

Voter attitudes may certainly shift over time, as happened with Obamacare, which rarely polled well among voters while Obama was president and only became popular when it was seriously threatened with repeal by Trump and Republicans.

A similar road may be ahead for the tax bill. Republicans set many of the bill’s effective dates — including the new individual tax rates and end of various itemized deductions — for the 2019 tax year, which means taxpayers may not begin to fully feel the impact until well after next fall’s midterm election.

Corry Bliss, executive director of American Action Network, takes the long view in pushing the legislation to passage, expecting that over time the group’s work — and the bill itself — will eventually increase enthusiasm among voters.

“If your taxes go down next year, you’re going to love this. If your taxes go up, you’re not,” he said. “Selling tax reform is a long-term project, and when people see results, a lot of the merits will sell themselves.”

 

 

 

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-tax-plan-unpopular-20171123-st...

NorthReport
NorthReport

dp

NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport

White supremists rule. Got it!

Roy Moore's incredible 'even though we had slavery' quote

http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/08/politics/roy-moore-slavery/index.html

NorthReport
NorthReport

Like Trump, Moore breaking the rules of modern-day politics

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/trump-moore-breaking-rules-modern-142644011.html

NorthReport

I suppose Moore feels he has it in the bag going off to another state for a football game during the last weekend before the election

https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/10/roy-moore-alabama-philadelphia-football-army-navy-288861

NorthReport
josh

LOL.  Since when has Alabama cared about being embarassed?

NorthReport

Fox News poll out today shows jones increasing his lead to 10 per cent but all other recent polls show Moore in the lead so the Fox News poll is probably an outlier 

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/roy-moore-is-trying-to-run-out-the-clock-in-alabama

NorthReport

Republican Alabama Senator Shelby did not vote for Roy Moore. 

 

E-Day is tomorrow

NorthReport

If that’s the job description I suppose WH Spokesperson Sanders is just doing her job

 http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/11/politics/donald-trump-tv-analysis/index.html

NorthReport
NorthReport

We are one step closer to Trump's impeachment tonite.

NorthReport

'We Are in a Trump-Driven Worst-Case Situation Right Now'

The president is the common thread between the recent Republican losses in Alabama, New Jersey, and Virginia.

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/12/we-are-in-a-trump-d...

NorthReport
NorthReport

Sounds like John McCain does not have too much time left. 

NorthReport

Paul Ryan Sees His Wild Washington Journey Coming to An End

He felt he was ‘made for this moment.’ But now, on the verge of achieving his long-sought legislative dream, he’s got his eyes on the exits.

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/12/14/paul-ryan-retire-spea...

josh
NorthReport
NorthReport
NorthReport

Tic Tok

Cochran's future in the Senate in doubt

The Appropriations Committee chairman hasn't presided over a hearing in months, and speculation is growing he will resign in January.

 

https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/21/mississippi-senate-thad-cochra...

NorthReport

The Senate must really be missing Roy Moore, eh!

https://www.thedailybeast.com/sore-alabama-senate-race-loser-roy-moore-g...

oldgoat

I just note that this horror show of a budget that just got passed generally puts a few bucks in most people's pockets prior to the mid terms.  Coincidence?  Yeah probably.

NDPP

Marsha Gessen's Warning Ignored As Dreams of Trumpeachment Dance In Our Heads  -  by Paul Street

https://www.counterpunch.org/2017/12/22/masha-gessens-warning-ignored-as...

"...The dismal, dollar-drenched Democrats, the party of 'inauthentic opposition', are hardly more popular than the radically regressive Republicans. Their approval mark was 37 percent in a recent CNN poll, their lowest level in 25 years. Pervasive scorn for the not-so leftmost of the two great capitalist parties is richly appropriate, given its continuing champion role as 'the graveyard of social movements,' and its long history of serving the nation's financial, corporate and imperial ruling class.

It's Christmas time - a season for magical thinking. So let us sing along with that great liberal Russophobe Rachel Mad Dog Maddow: on Dasher, on Dancer, on Rachel, on Mueller! Let us all sleep snug in our beds, while dreams of Trumpeachment dance in our heads..."

NorthReport

This is what 2018 will be all about.

‘We have tapped into something’: Impeachment drive builds digital army to take on Trump

Tom Steyer's trove of data is fueling speculation about how the Democratic activist might use his new political power.

https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/27/trump-impeachment-digital-army...

NorthReport

The Worst Political Predictions of 2017

Spoiler alert: Everybody was wrong.

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/12/27/worst-predictions-201...

NorthReport

Pages